Early Awareness to a Potentially Stormy Weekend
This may be a little early, but with numerous outdoor activities planned this weekend and the ongoing cleanup efforts, we wanted to send out what we know about the weekend weather. This email is intended to provide early awareness and not to provide specific forecast details.
A strong upper level system will approach north Texas over the weekend. A dry line will set up across the Texas panhandle and south plains Friday and Saturday. A moderate risk of severe thunderstorms is anticipated over western and central Oklahoma on Saturday, with a slight risk of severe thunderstorms spreading into north Texas Saturday night. The primary area of concern for Saturday night will be to the north of Interstate 20, and west of Interstate 35/35W. The combination of features will slowly move east through the weekend, leading to an active period of showers and thunderstorms for all of north and central Texas on Sunday and perhaps into Monday.
There will be a potential for strong to severe thunderstorms Saturday night and Sunday. The strength of the upper level system suggests that there will be some potential for all thunderstorm hazards across north and central Texas, including large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes. Heavy rainfall, including the potential for flash flooding, will also be possible.
Currently, there appears to be a high likelihood of significant severe weather in Oklahoma Saturday
afternoon and evening. For north and central Texas, the greatest potential for severe weather and
localized heavy rainfall will be late Saturday night, mainly after midnight, and most of the day Sunday. A
heavy rain and isolated severe weather threat may persist into Monday.
There will be an increased potential for severe weather late in the weekend. Elected officials, emergency
managers, and public safety officials should closely monitor the weather this weekend.
From Greg Patrick, NWS Ft. Worth